The current situation in Iraq has been under intense scrutiny and debate for some time. We find it ever more in the spotlight as the democrats and republicans use it against each other for political gain. General Petraeus recently gave testimony to the Armed Services Committee and provided them with this slide. I haven’t had a chance to read through the transcript and frankly I don’t care - what concerns me is the information in the slide.

  • Slide 2 - Attacks have evened out - to levels we were experiencing in Oct 2004
  • Slide 3 - Deaths, both military and civilian, are at levels close to those of Jan 2006
  • Slide 4 - Ethno-sectarian violence in Baghdad is at the lowest levels since May 2006 (the limit of the chart we are given)
  • Slide 5 - High level attacks roughly match the levels found from May 2006
  • Slide 7 - We are on pace to discover and clear 30-40% more weapons than any time in the past
  • Slide 8 - Insurgent strongholds have shrunk considerably since December 2006.
  • Slide 10 - Most of the nation is under or will be under Iraqi provincial control by the end of 2008
  • Slide 11 - The Iraqi police and Army forces should be have significantly more operational Battalions by the end of 2008
  • The slide does paint a rosy picture - but - as we all know - its not that rosy. The Iraqis really need to man up and take this country over. The longer they squabble over power the more detrimental it will be to their long term prosperity. The charts do not give the entire picture as they only provide a limited time line. We’ve been here for 5 years - I want to see the charts for the entire time on the ground.

    Unfortunately, the US military presence will continue until the politicians can come to an agreement. Even after the government begins to function and corruption decreases (which I hope it will) the Iraqis will continue to rely on the US military to do things they cannot - Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR), Combat Search and Rescue, Logistical Support, and Air power.

    As bad as I want to see our guys out of the fight - things could fall apart quickly without our help. I just don’t think they are ready despite continued progress - I wonder how longs its going to be before we are done. Waiting sucks - it really does. Its a shame we can’t get the Iraqi government to subcontract our role in their country. How cool would that be? Don’t let them pay us - have them pay Black water, KBR, or whomever they wish. They could regulate and control the situation to their desire until their own military and police forces can handle the country as a whole.

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